Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

The Los Angeles Angels (52-66) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (54-64) to Angel Stadium Monday for the first of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Angelsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024; Blue Jays won 4-2 in 2023

The Blue Jays, who sit 5th in the AL East, lost to the Oakland A's 8-4 Sunday as -146 home favorites with the Over (8) cashing. Toronto lost 2 of 3 in the series and have struggled over the past few weeks, posting a 5-8 record in the last 13 games. Toronto is 25-33 on the road this season and 56-62 against the spread (ATS), per Teamrankings.com.

The Angels avoided a weekend sweep with a 6-4 victory at the Washington Nationals 6-4 Sunday. L.A. was a +139 underdog and the Over (9) hit. The Angels had won the prior 2 series, beating the New York Yankees and New York Mets in 2 of 3 each. Los Angeles is 26-35 at home this season, including 4-6 in its last 10 at the "Big A." The Angels are tied for 4th in the majors with a 65-53 ATS mark.

Blue Jays at Angels projected starters

RHP Bowden Francis vs. RHP Davis Daniel

Francis (4-3, 5.44 ERA) makes his 6th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 49 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-3 home loss to Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
• 2024 away splits: 2-3, 5.28 ERA (29 IP, 17 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 8 HR, 8.1 K/9 in 10 appearances (4 starts)
• Never faced Angels before

Daniel (1-3, 6.04 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 25 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-2 loss at New York Yankees Wednesday
• 2024 home splits: 1-1, 4.32 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 1 HR, 8.6 K/9 in 3 starts
• Has yet to face Blue Jays in his career

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Blue Jays at Angels odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:41 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Angels -106 (bet $106 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) | Angels +1.5 (-172)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +106 | U: -130)

Blue Jays at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Angels 5

Moneyline

BET BLUE JAYS (-110).

The Angels have lost Daniel's last 4 starts. He has an 8.83 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 17 ER) in the 4-game span, allowing 4 or more runs in 3 of the outings. The Angels pitching staff has yielded at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 4 games, and as mentioned, L.A. has lost 2 of its last 3.

While Toronto went 1-2 vs. Oakland over the weekend, the pitching staff was sharp, allowing just 1 run apiece Friday (3-1 win) and Saturday (1-0 loss). While the offense seldom puts up big numbers, Toronto has at least scored 3 or more runs in 9 of its last 10 games, so the consistency factor is there.

Considering those trends, BACK BLUE JAYS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Blue Jays -1.5 (+140) as run-line favorite are too risky, especially considering Francis' struggles on the road. Similarly, the Angels +1.5 (-172) are too expensive as home underdogs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (+106).

Neither team has a pitcher that has had consistent success this season. Both starters have an ERA's over 5.

The Blue Jays have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 games and are 64-51-3 O/U overall. They have allowed at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 5. The Angels are 56-56-6 O/U on the season and are 3-1-1 O/U over their last 5. Los Angeles has scored at least 4 runs in 4 of its last 5.

Both teams have been able to get on the board with ease. Against these weaker starters, TAKE OVER 9.5 (+106).

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