Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

The Texas Rangers (55-63) visit the Boston Red Sox (61-55) on Monday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Rangers vs. Red Soxodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 2-1

The Rangers lost 8-7 at the New York Yankees on Sunday as +127 road underdogs. C Carson Kelly had 2 RBIs while LHP Andrew Heaney (3 ER in 4 2/3 IP) took the loss.

The Red Sox have lost 4 games in a row after losing 10-2 on Sunday against the Houston Astros and failing to cover as +129 home underdogs. RF Wilyer Abreu and DH Masataka Yoshida had RBIs.

Rangers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Tyler Mahle vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Mahle (0-1, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd start since coming off 60-day injured lis. He has a 1.2 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 3.6 K/9 in 5 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 4-2 loss against Houston Astros Tuesday
• First time facing Red Sox

Bello (10-5, 5.16 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 111 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 6-5 win at Kansas City Royals Tuesday.
• Career vs. Rangers: 2-1, 5.63 ERA (16 IP, 10 ER), 19 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 3 starts; last outing in 2023.

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Rangers at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Rangers at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Rangers 5

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-130).

Texas is just 3-7 in its last 10 games including 1-3 in its last 4 games on the road. It has allowed 8 or more runs in each of those 3 losses and is starting Mahle, who has pitched just once this season. Bello on the mound for the Red Sox will be a difference-maker with his 10-5 record, largely due to his ability to keep runners off the base paths.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Between 2 teams that have faced recent struggles, the moneyline is the best play in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-110).

The Rangers have a 7-3 Over record in their last 10 games andd have hit the Over in back-to-back games, scoring 7 or more runs in each. The Red Sox have hit the Over in 8 of their last 10 games while scoring 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 9 and allowing 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 9.

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