Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

The Kansas City Royals (65-53) visit the Minnesota Twins (66-52) Monday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Royals vs. Twinsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 5-2

The Royals got back in the win column with an 8-3 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday as -111 home favorites. SS Bobby Witt Jr. led the way on offense with 3 RBIs, while SP Michael Wacha allowed 2 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win and RP Lucas Erceg picked up his 4th save of the season.

The Twins have lost back-to-back games after falling 5-3 against the Cleveland Guardians Sunday and failing to cash as -115 home favorites. CF Byron Buxton (2 for 4, 3 RBIs) homered twice, while RP Caleb Thielbar allowed 3 ER in 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Royals at Twins projected starters

RHP Brady Singer vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Singer (8-7, 3.03 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 130 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-5 home defeat against Boston Red Sox Aug. 5
• Career vs. Twins: 3-6, 5.18 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 12 starts, including 1-0 with 0.00 ERA (7 IP) in 1 start this year

Lopez (10-8, 4.74 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 129 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 7-3 setback at Chicago Cubs Tuesday
• Career vs. Royals: 4-1, 2.41 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 5 starts, including 1-0 with 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start this season

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Royals at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -125 | U: -105)

Royals at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Royals 5

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-160).

The Twins are 6-4 in their last 10 games, including 5-2 in their last 7 at home. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 5 games overall and in 5 of their last 7 at home. The Royals have dropped 3 of their last 5 contests, allowing 6 or more runs in each of those games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

In a game that features 2 teams that have been performing well, the moneyline is the better play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-125).

The Royals have hit the Over in 8 of their last 10 games, including each of their last 5. They have scored 8 runs in 2 of their last 3 games and 5 or more in 9 of their last 10. Minnesota has avoided the Under in 7 of its last 10 games and scored 4 or more runs in 2 of its last 4.

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