Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (61-56) take on the San Francisco Giants (61-59) Monday in the opener of a 4-game set at Oracle Park at 9:45 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Braves vs. Giantsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 2-1

The Braves dropped 2 of 3 in Colorado over the weekend and are reeling at 1-7 in their last 8 games -- and 7-14 in their last 21. Their pitching has been brutal. Toss out the last series in Coors Field, but they still allowed 34 runs in a 3-game series at home to Milwaukee. 3B Austin Riley is hitting .353 (18 for 51) with 4 homers and 13 RBIs in his last 12 games.

The Giants are playing better baseball, winners of 4 of 5 -- and 12 of 16 -- but fell to the Detroit Tigers 5-4 Sunday as -176 home favorites. 3B Matt Chapman has stepped his game up, hitting .362 with 5 homers and 15 RBIs over his last 15 games.

Braves at Giants projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. LHP Blake Snell

Sale (13-3, NL-best 2.75 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 127 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 9 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 8-5 home loss vs. Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday
• 2024 vs. Giants: 1 start, win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home victory
• Career vs. Giants: 2-0, 1.80 ERA (20 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 3 starts (1 start last season, 2 starts in 2014 with White Sox)

Snell (2-3, 4.31 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 7-4 victory at Washington Nationals Wednesday
• Last 3 starts: 2-0, 1.29 ERA (21 IP, 3 ER), 0.57 WHIP, 34 K in 21 innings, including his no-hitter at Cincinnati Reds Aug. 9
• Career vs. Braves: 0-2, 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 12 K in 3 starts

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Braves at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:40 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+165) | Giants +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Braves at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Braves 3

Moneyline

Snell had 1 bad inning in his first start after no-hitting the Reds Aug. 9. He gave up 3 runs in the 3rd inning of his last start and rebounded with 5 K's in his final 3 innings of work. He's at another level right now, and I trust him more than Sale, who has allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts for a 3.06 ERA.

BET GIANTS (-105) at home.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS on a run line wager, but ...

I like BLAKE SNELL OVER 7.5 K'S (-130). The Braves are the 6th-easiest to whiff in baseball at 9.15 K's per game. Snell's K lines in his last 3 starts: 8, 11, 15.

Over/Under

It's slated to be 60 degrees with a fierce 11-mph gust blowing straight out to center. According to Pregame.com, 3 5-figure bets came in on the Over between 12-1 p.m. One of those was for $62,574! With the weather favoring the Over, and the sharps coming in hot, TAKE OVER 6.5 (-105).

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